The odds
as of Oct 9, 19:22 UTC- Chance of yes 3.5% −1
Traded today$967
Traded in all$145K
Yes, 7 days−1.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 2: 4% · Oct 3: 5% · Oct 4: 5% · Oct 5: 5.5% · Oct 6: 6% · Oct 7: 3.5% · Oct 8: 3.5% · Oct 9: 3.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Avengers: Doomsday's release is delayed past December 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Disney. Any references to Disney or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Disney and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Marvel
See it on Kalshi ↗