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Closest Governor race in 2026? Kansas 93% ▲+85Closest Senate race in 2026? Mississippi 92% ▲+82Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2… James Talarico 3.5% ▼−79Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? Mississippi 94% ▲+692026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? 125 million and above 7.6% ▼−62Philadelphia vs Detroit: 2nd Quarter Winner Detroit 18% ▼−56Georgia: Bottoms's margin vs. Ossoff's margin? Ossoff by 3-6 63% ▲+54Florida Governor margin of victory Donalds, 1.5+ pts 22% ▼−53Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? Nithya Raman, 6-8% 59% ▲+53Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential … Chris Christie 89% ▲+53Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin? Sand by 6-9 90% ▲+532028 presidential odds leader on November 30? Other 51% ▲+47Philadelphia vs Detroit: Triple Double LeBron James 50% ▲+47Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) Above 56 59% ▲+43
KalshiCloses November 23, 2026

I Play Rocky · Rotten Tomatoes score

A ladder on one number: the likeliest rung is Above 45 at >99% on Kalshi, as of Nov 5, 01:18 UTC.

Above 45 >99%

The odds

as of Nov 5, 01:18 UTC
  • Above 45 >99% —
  • Above 50 >99% —
  • Above 55 99% +1
  • Above 60 99% —
  • Above 65 >99% +2
  • Above 70 98% +1
  • Above 72 97% +1
  • Above 75 97% +4

A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$103K
Traded in all$485K
Favourite, 7 daysunch

Above 45, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 28Nov 5100%

Oct 29: >99% · Oct 30: >99% · Oct 31: >99% · Nov 1: >99% · Nov 2: >99% · Nov 3: >99% · Nov 4: >99% · Nov 5: >99%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 45; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If I Play Rocky has a Tomatometer score of above 45 on Nov 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The "Fresh!" and "Certified Fresh!" subtitles are meant for illustrative purposes only. The Tomatometer score must be above the strike value to resolve as YES (for example, a score of 75 would resolve "Above 75" as No.) The market will be determined the Monday after wide release at 10:00 AM ET. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rotten Tomatoes. Any references to Rotten Tomatoes or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Rotten Tomatoes and Kalshi.

Settlement sources: Rotten Tomatoes

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