The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Spider-Man: Brand New Day 96% —
- Avengers: Doomsday 4.3% —
- The Odyssey <1% —
- Wicked: For Good <1% —
- Wuthering Heights <1% —
- Scream 7 <1% —
- Michael <1% —
- Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu <1% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$17.6M
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts
Spider-Man: Brand New Day, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 95% · Sep 29: 95% · Sep 30: 95% · Oct 1: 96% · Oct 2: 96% · Oct 3: 96% · Oct 4: 96% · Oct 5: 96%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
See it on Polymarket ↗