The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Before 2028 90% +1
- Before July 2027 59% —
- Before 2027 9% +2
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$97K
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts
Before 2028, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 89% · Sep 29: 89% · Sep 30: 89% · Oct 1: 89% · Oct 2: 87% · Oct 3: 88% · Oct 4: 88% · Oct 5: 90%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before 2028; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, “GTA VI Online” means an online multiplayer mode or service for Grand Theft Auto VI, whether bundled with the base game or separately distributed and regardless of the name Rockstar Games uses. It is released when the general U.S. public can access and play it on at least one supported platform. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Rockstar Games. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: GTA 6; Playstation; Mircosoft
See it on Kalshi ↗