Moving
KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

Stranger Things: New episode this year?

The market puts it at 3.5% — a long shot, about one in 29 — on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • Chance of yes 3.5% —
Traded today$694
Traded in all$2.5M
Yes, 7 daysunch

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 54%

Sep 28: 3.5% · Sep 29: 3.5% · Sep 30: 3.5% · Oct 1: 3.5% · Oct 2: 3.5% · Oct 3: 3.5% · Oct 4: 3.5% · Oct 5: 3.5%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If A New Episode of Stranger Things has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.

Settlement sources: The Source Agencies are; in hierarchical order; Netflix; NBC; MSNBC; Fox News; Spotify; IMDb; Variety; The Hollywood Reporter; Deadline; Entertainment Weekly; the Associated Press; The New York Times; Bloomberg News; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN

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