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PolymarketCloses November 20, 2026

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

The market puts it at 4% — a long shot, about one in 25 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC. It's down 0.5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC
  • Chance of yes 4% −0.5
Traded today$9K
Traded in all$835K
Yes, 7 days−2 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 54%

Sep 28: 6% · Sep 29: 6.5% · Sep 30: 6% · Oct 1: 4.5% · Oct 2: 4.5% · Oct 3: 4.5% · Oct 4: 4.6% · Oct 5: 4%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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