The odds
as of Oct 5, 06:31 UTC- Exactly 3.6% 45% +23
- Exactly 3.7% 34% −3
- Exactly 3.5% 8.5% +1
- Exactly 3.8% 8% −4
- Exactly 2.8% 5% —
- Exactly 2.9% 5% —
- Exactly 3.3% 5% —
- Exactly 2.4% 4% —
Traded today$14K
Traded in all$78K
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts
Exactly 3.6%, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 45% · Sep 29: 46% · Sep 30: 49% · Oct 1: 46% · Oct 2: 46% · Oct 3: 40% · Oct 4: 43% · Oct 5: 47%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Exactly 3.6%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 3.6% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
See it on Kalshi ↗