The odds
as of Oct 5, 04:33 UTC- Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms 14% −1
- Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine 9.5% +1
- Save the Children 8.5% —
- International Court of Justice (ICJ) 6.5% +1
- International Criminal Court 6.5% +3
- Doctors Without Borders 4.5% −5
- Committee to Protect Journalists 4.5% +1
- Yulia Navalnaya 3.5% −1
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$340K
Traded in all$2.3M
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 14% · Sep 29: 16% · Sep 30: 17% · Oct 1: 14% · Oct 2: 14% · Oct 3: 17% · Oct 4: 16% · Oct 5: 13%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 5, 04:33 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Nobel Foundation
See it on Kalshi ↗