The odds
as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC- November 30 78% −5
- November 15 73% −0.5
- October 31 62% —
- October 15 36% +2
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$65K
Traded in all$2.3M
Favourite, 7 days+18 pts
November 30, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 1: 78% · Oct 2: 85% · Oct 3: 82% · Oct 4: 78% · Oct 5: 77%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordOn September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
See it on Polymarket ↗