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Grammy Winner: Best Contemporary Country Album Flow State 61% ▲+60Largest Company end of October 2026? NVIDIA 24% ▼−56Shebekin vs Eichenseher David Eichenseher 94% ▲+47Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes 49% ▲+45Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's lacros… Great Britain 71% ▲+45WTA Tokyo Winner Diana Shnaider 49% ▲+44Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by … Newt Gingrich 45% ▲+43Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh? Before Apr 1, 2027 30% ▼−40NHL: Players to Record 50+ Goals Filip Forsberg 53% ▲+40Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations Dog Alone 52% ▲+39When will Gemini Carbon be released? November 9–November 15 55% ▲+38Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the ele… Yossi Cohen 39% ▲+37Core CPI in November Above 0.2% 60% ▲+35New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headlin… Noah Kahan 84% ▲+31
PolymarketCloses December 1, 2026

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google leads at 71% (about 7 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 30, 08:23 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

Google 71% ▼ 1 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 30, 08:23 UTC
  • Google 71% −1
  • Anthropic 26% +2
  • OpenAI 2.5% —
  • Meta <1% —
  • SpaceXAI <1% —
  • Z.ai <1% —
  • Alibaba <1% —
  • Moonshot <1% —
Traded today$62K
Traded in all$572K
Favourite, 7 days+13 pts

Google, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 22Oct 3071%

Oct 23: 57% · Oct 24: 58% · Oct 25: 49% · Oct 26: 45% · Oct 27: 50% · Oct 28: 68% · Oct 29: 69% · Oct 30: 71%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
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