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KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

Will Jensen Huang testify in front of Congress?

Before Jul 2027 leads at 77% (about 8 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 11, 23:15 UTC. It's down 2 points in the last 24 hours.

Before Jul 2027 77% ▼ 2 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 11, 23:15 UTC
  • Before Jul 2027 77% −2
  • Before Jan 2027 30% −18

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$11K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days+49 pts

Before Jul 2027, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 8Nov 1176%

Nov 8: 82% · Nov 9: 78% · Nov 10: 79% · Nov 11: 76%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Jul 2027; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Jensen Huang testifies in front of Congress before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. In-person, remote, and/or virtual testimony during an official hearing or deposition of the House or Senate (including committees, subcommittees, and joint committees) qualifies. Testifying in a closed-door session also qualifies. Submitting written testimony without appearing live does not qualify. Statements made outside of an official committee hearing, such as informal briefings, media events on Capitol grounds, or personal statements to individual members of Congress, do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources: C-SPAN; The New York Times; The Associated Press; Bloomberg News; Reuters; POLITICO; Axios

See it on Kalshi ↗

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