The odds
as of Nov 11, 23:15 UTC- Before Jul 2027 77% −2
- Before Jan 2027 30% −18
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days+49 pts
Before Jul 2027, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 8: 82% · Nov 9: 78% · Nov 10: 79% · Nov 11: 76%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Jul 2027; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Jensen Huang testifies in front of Congress before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. In-person, remote, and/or virtual testimony during an official hearing or deposition of the House or Senate (including committees, subcommittees, and joint committees) qualifies. Testifying in a closed-door session also qualifies. Submitting written testimony without appearing live does not qualify. Statements made outside of an official committee hearing, such as informal briefings, media events on Capitol grounds, or personal statements to individual members of Congress, do not satisfy the criterion.
Settlement sources: C-SPAN; The New York Times; The Associated Press; Bloomberg News; Reuters; POLITICO; Axios
See it on Kalshi ↗