The odds
as of Nov 12, 05:18 UTC- R1: Zachary Bauchou under 69.5 strokes 73% +25
- R1: Jordan Smith under 69.5 strokes 62% —
- R1: David Ford under 69.5 strokes 59% —
- R1: Seamus Power under 69.5 strokes 58% —
- R1: Rico Hoey under 69.5 strokes 57% —
- R1: Sudarshan Yellamaraju under 69.5 strokes 55% —
- R1: Max Homa under 69.5 strokes 54% —
- R1: Doug Ghim under 68.5 strokes 52% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$70K
Traded in all$70K
Favourite, 7 days+25 pts
R1: Zachary Bauchou under 69.5 strokes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 11: 48% · Nov 12: 73%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, R1: Zachary Bauchou under 69.5 strokes; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Zachary Bauchou records under 69.5 strokes in Round 1 of the 2026 Austin Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zachary Bauchou does not complete Round 1 this market will resolve to a fair market price at the time of withdrawal. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: ESPN; Fox Sports; the Governing League
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