The odds
as of Nov 12, 06:26 UTC- Chance of yes 20% −26
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$65K
Yes, 7 days−30 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 5: 50% · Nov 6: 51% · Nov 7: 54% · Nov 8: 50% · Nov 9: 50% · Nov 10: 50% · Nov 11: 52% · Nov 12: 50%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the Southern District of New York has found OpenAI liable for copyright infringement (or any of the counts alleged by the Times), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Pacer
See it on Kalshi ↗