The odds
as of Nov 12, 16:19 UTC- Blake Miguez 95% −1
- Chauna Banks 5.9% +1
Traded today$14K
Traded in all$209K
Favourite, 7 days+3.5 pts
Blake Miguez, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 5: 92% · Nov 6: 91% · Nov 7: 92% · Nov 8: 92% · Nov 9: 92% · Nov 10: 93% · Nov 11: 95% · Nov 12: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Blake Miguez; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the House member sworn in for LA-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗