The odds
as of Nov 11, 21:18 UTC- Chance of yes 1.6% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$36K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceNov 4: 2% · Nov 5: 1.9% · Nov 6: 1.7% · Nov 7: 1.7% · Nov 8: 1.7% · Nov 9: 1.7% · Nov 10: 1.7% · Nov 11: 1.6%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗