The odds
as of Oct 29, 21:17 UTC- Greg Murphy 60% −4
- Raymond Smith Jr. 42% +3
Traded today$136K
Traded in all$555K
Favourite, 7 days−19 pts
Greg Murphy, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 22: 81% · Oct 23: 79% · Oct 24: 72% · Oct 25: 67% · Oct 26: 68% · Oct 27: 56% · Oct 28: 63% · Oct 29: 60%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Greg Murphy; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the House member sworn in for NC-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗