Moving
Johnson vs Reasco Gonzalez Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 91% ▲+67How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct … 3 84% ▲+46Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film Once Upon a Time in Harlem 70% ▼−44Boston vs Detroit Detroit 93% ▲+44When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Before Dec 31, 2026 94% ▲+44Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - Oct… 200+ 49% ▲+43Dawn Bulls vs. TheBot$ Dawn Bulls 91% ▲+41Kha vs Keller Natalie Kha 84% ▲+40Pro Football Next Coach Out Dan Quinn 61% ▲+37Celtics vs. Pistons Pistons 85% ▲+36Will Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY? Yes 39% ▼−35Will Trump be impeached? Before Oct 1, 2027 66% ▲+33Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? Miley Cyrus 13% ▼−32Who will be the next President of the Federal Rese… Marc Sumerlin 39% ▲+32
PolymarketCloses January 17, 2027

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu leads at 70% (about 7 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 20, 21:23 UTC. It's down 2.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Bola Tinubu 70% ▼ 2.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 20, 21:23 UTC
  • Bola Tinubu 70% −2.5
  • Peter Obi 24% —
  • Omoyele Sowore <1% —
  • Rabiu Kwankwaso <1% —
  • Rotimi Amaechi <1% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$136K
Favourite, 7 days−4 pts

Bola Tinubu, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 12Oct 2070%

Oct 13: 74% · Oct 14: 74% · Oct 15: 74% · Oct 16: 74% · Oct 17: 73% · Oct 18: 73% · Oct 19: 72% · Oct 20: 70%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
See it on Polymarket ↗

Politics & elections

More markets like this

All →