The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Above 650,000 units 78% −10
- Above 700,000 units 78% +28
- Above 750,000 units 49% −15
- Above 800,000 units 56% +6
- Above 850,000 units 25% −1
- Above 900,000 units 7% −3
- Above 950,000 units 2% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$112K
Favourite, 7 days+28 pts
Above 650,000 units, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 50% · Sep 29: 76% · Sep 30: 76% · Oct 1: 75% · Oct 2: 74% · Oct 3: 77% · Oct 4: 70% · Oct 5: 80%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 650,000 units; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Grey Goose sells above 650,000 units of Honey Deuce during the US Open 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Grey Goose. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: The Source Agencies are; Grey Goose; The New York Times; The Wall Street Journal; The Financial Times; Bloomberg; Reuters; TechCrunch; The Information; The Washington Post; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Kalshi ↗