The odds
as of Nov 4, 13:16 UTC- Giorgia Meloni 48% −2.5
- Giuseppe Conte 24% +4
- Elly Schlein 17% −8
- Roberto Vannacci 4.5% −1.7
- Silvia Salis 4% −1
- Matteo Salvini <1% −1
- Mario Draghi <1% −1.4
- Matteo Renzi <1% —
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$107K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts
Giorgia Meloni, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 28: 50% · Oct 29: 51% · Oct 30: 49% · Oct 31: 46% · Nov 1: 51% · Nov 2: 51% · Nov 3: 52% · Nov 4: 48%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗