The odds
as of Oct 5, 06:31 UTC- 48 17% +3
- 47 16% +1
- 49 14% —
- 50 13% +2
- 46 9.5% −1
- Below 45 8.5% −2
- 51 7.5% −1
- 45 5.5% —
Traded today$299K
Traded in all$1.6M
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts
48, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 16% · Sep 29: 14% · Sep 30: 14% · Oct 1: 14% · Oct 2: 14% · Oct 3: 14% · Oct 4: 18% · Oct 5: 17%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 48; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Republican party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗