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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

The market puts it at 6.2% — a long shot, about one in 16 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 10, 18:28 UTC.

Yes 6.2%

The odds

as of Oct 10, 18:28 UTC
  • Chance of yes 6.2% —
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$297K
Yes, 7 daysunch

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 2Oct 106%

Oct 3: 6.2% · Oct 4: 6.2% · Oct 5: 6.2% · Oct 6: 6.1% · Oct 7: 6.2% · Oct 8: 5.8% · Oct 9: 5.8% · Oct 10: 6.2%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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