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PolymarketCloses November 16, 2026

Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner

José Maria Neves leads at 87% (about 9 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 20, 23:20 UTC. It's up 5 points in the last 24 hours.

José Maria Neves 87% ▲ 5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 20, 23:20 UTC
  • José Maria Neves 87% +5
  • Joana Rosa 6.4% −4
  • Péricles Tavares 2.8% −1
  • Janine Lélis 2.4% —
  • Casimiro de Pina 1.5% −1.4
  • Milton Paiva <1% —
  • Fernando Delgado <1% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$29K
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts

José Maria Neves, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 13Oct 2087%

Oct 13: 84% · Oct 14: 85% · Oct 15: 85% · Oct 16: 84% · Oct 17: 84% · Oct 18: 82% · Oct 19: 82% · Oct 20: 87%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
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