The odds
as of Oct 9, 09:31 UTC- Jay Z 58% −6.5
- Justin Bieber 50% +44
- Miley Cyrus 26% −28
- Harry Styles 24% −1.4
- Taylor Swift 19% −1.3
- Luke Combs 12% —
- Morgan Wallen 11% —
- Dua Lipa 9.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts
Jay Z, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 2: 53% · Oct 3: 53% · Oct 4: 53% · Oct 5: 53% · Oct 6: 39% · Oct 7: 72% · Oct 8: 73% · Oct 9: 59%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LXI halftime show currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying performances include but are not limited to singing and dancing. An appearance during the event where an individual does not perform as an incorporated part of the show will not alone qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched to music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗