The odds
as of Oct 20, 14:25 UTC- Michael Faulkender 38% −1
- Marc Sumerlin 34% +19
- Paula Tkac 22% +14
- Rebecca Patterson 14% +2
- David Altig 10% −5
Traded today$23K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−1.5 pts
Michael Faulkender, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 13: 40% · Oct 14: 35% · Oct 15: 33% · Oct 16: 33% · Oct 17: 44% · Oct 18: 43% · Oct 19: 37% · Oct 20: 38%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Michael Faulkender; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Michael Faulkender formally holds the position of President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Settlement sources: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
See it on Kalshi ↗