The odds
as of Nov 6, 04:19 UTC- Democratic party 69% +0.5
- Republican party 31% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$34K
Favourite, 7 days+5.5 pts
Democratic party, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 30: 64% · Oct 31: 65% · Nov 1: 66% · Nov 2: 62% · Nov 3: 64% · Nov 4: 63% · Nov 5: 69% · Nov 6: 69%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic party; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of North Carolina for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗