The odds
as of Nov 2, 13:18 UTC- Fear 45% −17
- Extreme Fear 36% +14
- Neutral 10% —
- Greed 2.5% —
- Extreme Greed 1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days−2.5 pts
Fear, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 26: 48% · Oct 27: 48% · Oct 28: 48% · Oct 29: 48% · Oct 30: 46% · Oct 31: 75% · Nov 1: 44% · Nov 2: 43%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Fear; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the value at 4:00 PM ET on Nov 6, 2026 is Fear, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: CNN Fear & Greed Index
See it on Kalshi ↗