The odds
as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC- Chance of yes 1% —
Traded today$10K
Traded in all$115K
Yes, 7 days−11 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 4.5% · Sep 29: 3% · Sep 30: 2.5% · Oct 1: 1.5% · Oct 2: 1% · Oct 3: 1.5% · Oct 4: 1% · Oct 5: 1%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf exactly 4 unique songs credited to Taylor Swift appear in the top 4 songs on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of October 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Each unique song title counts only once regardless of weeks on chart or re-entries. Different versions with distinct titles (acoustic, remix) count separately. Songs from before issuance that re-enter during the contract period count toward the total. Collaborations where the artist shares equal billing or is featured count. Songs count only if the artist is credited as primary or featured performer, not as producer/songwriter. Only positions within the chart's standard range qualify (e.g., 1-100 for Hot 100, not "bubbling under"). This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to Billboard, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Billboard
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