The odds
as of Nov 12, 20:16 UTC- Tim Scott 79% −10
- Ethan Holliman 4% —
- Darline Graham 4% —
- Mark Lynch 3.8% —
- Mark Sanford 3.3% —
- Russell Fry 2.6% —
- Nancy Mace 2.4% —
- Pamela Evette 2.1% —
Traded today$31K
Traded in all$31K
Favourite, 7 days−14 pts
Tim Scott, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 10: 91% · Nov 11: 89% · Nov 12: 80%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Tim Scott; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Tim Scott wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III South Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
Settlement sources: South Carolina Republican Party; Associated Press; Decision Desk HQ; New York Times; CNN; Fox News; NBC News; CBS News; ABC News
See it on Kalshi ↗