The odds
as of Nov 12, 20:16 UTC- John Fetterman 20% −8.5
- Dan Meuser 13% —
- Dave Sunday 12% —
- Brian Fitzpatrick 10% —
- Guy Reschenthaler 8.2% —
- Stacy Garrity 8.1% —
- Scott Perry 5.4% —
- Rob Bresnahan 4.8% —
Traded today$111K
Traded in all$117K
Favourite, 7 days−8.5 pts
John Fetterman, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 10: 28% · Nov 11: 28% · Nov 12: 20%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, John Fetterman; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If John Fetterman wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
Settlement sources: Republican Party of Pennsylvania; Associated Press; Decision Desk HQ; New York Times; CNN; Fox News; NBC News; CBS News; ABC News
See it on Kalshi ↗