The odds
as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC- Above 45 96% −1
- Above 50 93% −1
- Above 55 91% —
- Above 60 85% —
- Above 65 73% —
- Above 70 56% −2
- Above 75 37% —
- Above 80 20% −1
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$9K
Traded in all$288K
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts
Above 45, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 94% · Sep 29: 94% · Sep 30: 94% · Oct 1: 96% · Oct 2: 96% · Oct 3: 96% · Oct 4: 96% · Oct 5: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 45; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If The Social Reckoning has a Tomatometer score of above 45 on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The "Fresh!" and "Certified Fresh!" subtitles are meant for illustrative purposes only. The Tomatometer score must be above the strike value to resolve as YES (for example, a score of 75 would resolve "Above 75" as No.) The market will be determined the Monday after wide release at 10:00 AM ET. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rotten Tomatoes. Any references to Rotten Tomatoes or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Rotten Tomatoes and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Rotten Tomatoes
See it on Kalshi ↗