The odds
as of Nov 5, 06:26 UTC- Chance of yes 80% −2
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$26K
Yes, 7 days+27 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 29: 53% · Oct 30: 79% · Oct 31: 82% · Nov 1: 82% · Nov 2: 82% · Nov 3: 82% · Nov 4: 82% · Nov 5: 82%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf EIA reports Pennsylvania’s marketed natural-gas production for calendar year 2026 is above 7.675792 trillion cubic feet, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is EIA’s Pennsylvania Natural Gas Marketed Production statistic for calendar year 2026. EIA reports production in million cubic feet; 7.675792 Tcf equals 7,675,792 million cubic feet. The numerical threshold is fixed and will not change if EIA subsequently revises its 2025 value.
Settlement sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration
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