The odds
as of Oct 11, 06:39 UTC- Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House 55% +2
- Republican sweep 22% +8
- Republicans win House & Governor; Democrat wins Senate 13% —
- Independent wins House; Democrats win Governor & Senate 9% —
- Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor 5% —
- Democratic sweep 3% +2
- Independent wins House; Republicans win Governor & Senate 2% —
- Independent House, Republican Governor, Democratic Senate 1.5% —
Traded today$743
Traded in all$29K
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts
Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 4: 55% · Oct 5: 51% · Oct 6: 56% · Oct 7: 57% · Oct 8: 57% · Oct 9: 57% · Oct 10: 56% · Oct 11: 55%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If ALL of a Republican candidate in Alaska's U.S. House at-large election, a Democratic candidate in Alaska's Governor election, and a Democratic candidate in Alaska's U.S. Senate election win their respective elections in the November 3, 2026 Alaska general elections for U.S. House at-large, Governor, and U.S. Senate, using the ultimate winners after ranked-choice tabulation, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined at the time of the general election. Independent means a candidate registered as Nonpartisan or Undeclared. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Alaska Division of Elections
See it on Kalshi ↗