Moving
Trinidense vs Rubio Nu Rubio Nu 94% ▲+74Who will headline Coachella 2027? SZA 96% ▲+58Oz vs Tikhonova Anastasia Tikhonova 92% ▲+52De Alba vs Liu Lucca Liu 97% ▲+49Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 96% ▲+43AA Estudiantes vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 96% ▲+43New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner Geoffrey Kamworor 59% ▲+42Black’s Tire 200 Winner Layne Riggs 61% ▲+40KRÜ Blaze vs. MIBR Female KRÜ Blaze 73% ▲+40Wellington Firebirds vs Canterbury Canterbury 85% ▲+38Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the ele… Yossi Cohen 39% ▲+37Huracan vs Tigre Tigre 59% ▲+35Coquimbo vs Union La Calera Coquimbo 27% ▼−34WTA Tokyo Winner Diana Shnaider 48% ▲+34
KalshiCloses January 8, 2027

Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?

Talarico by 10-15 leads at 24% (about 2 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 30, 23:14 UTC. It's up 17 points in the last 24 hours.

Talarico by 10-15 24% ▲ 17 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 30, 23:14 UTC
  • Talarico by 10-15 24% +17
  • Talarico by 5-10 22% —
  • Talarico by 0-5 20% —
  • Raman by 0-5 14% —
  • Raman by 5-10 14% —
  • Talarico by 15+ 5% —
  • Raman by 10-15 2.5% —
  • Raman by 15+ 1.5% —
Traded today$25K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−26 pts

Talarico by 10-15, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 28Oct 3024%

Oct 28: 7.5% · Oct 29: 7.5% · Oct 30: 24%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Talarico by 10-15; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between 10 and 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.

Settlement sources: Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk; Texas Secretary of State

See it on Kalshi ↗

Politics & elections

More markets like this

All →