Moving
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? Olivia Rodrigo 72% ▲+63Who will AOC endorse? Claire Valdez 91% ▲+60How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct … 3 84% ▲+46Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film Once Upon a Time in Harlem 71% ▼−44When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Before Dec 31, 2026 94% ▲+44Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - Oct… 200+ 48% ▲+39Will Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY? Yes 39% ▼−35Will Trump be impeached? Before Oct 1, 2027 66% ▲+33Who will be the next President of the Federal Rese… Marc Sumerlin 26% ▲+32Pereira vs Boyaca Chico Pereira 76% ▲+32Pro Football Next Coach Out Dan Quinn 61% ▲+30Martin vs Arutiunian Erik Arutiunian 75% ▲+30Milev vs Giustino Yanaki Milev 66% ▲+28Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner… JAY-Z 90% ▲+26
KalshiCloses November 3, 2027

Alaska House winner?

Nick Begich III leads at 85% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 20, 22:22 UTC. It's down 4 points in the last 24 hours.

Nick Begich III 85% ▼ 4 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 20, 22:22 UTC
  • Nick Begich III 85% −4
  • Bill Hill 14% —
  • Eric Hafner 2.8% +8
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$75K
Favourite, 7 days−2.5 pts

Nick Begich III, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 12Oct 2085%

Oct 13: 88% · Oct 14: 88% · Oct 15: 88% · Oct 16: 87% · Oct 17: 87% · Oct 18: 87% · Oct 19: 87% · Oct 20: 85%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Nick Begich III; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a member of the Republican party is sworn in for AK-AL for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources: Library of Congress

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