The odds
as of Nov 9, 04:20 UTC- Chance of yes 1.5% −2
Traded today$518
Traded in all$28K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 3: 2.5% · Nov 4: 3.5% · Nov 5: 3.5% · Nov 6: 3.5% · Nov 9: 2%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Elon Musk has created a Bluesky account before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The New York Times
See it on Kalshi ↗