The odds
as of Nov 9, 04:20 UTC- Before Jan 1, 2033 87% −11
- Before Jan 1, 2031 81% −10
- Before Jan 1, 2029 53% −32
- Before Jan 1, 2028 45% —
- Before Jul 1, 2027 32% —
- Before Jan 1, 2027 16% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$63K
Traded in all$64K
Favourite, 7 days+62 pts
Before Jan 1, 2033, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 2: 25% · Nov 3: 25% · Nov 4: 29% · Nov 5: 26% · Nov 6: 26% · Nov 7: 65% · Nov 8: 87% · Nov 9: 87%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Jan 1, 2033; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the CEO of NVIDIA Corporation has announced, or it has been announced on their behalf, that they have left their position as CEO after issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes. The CEO covered by this event is Jensen Huang, the CEO of NVIDIA Corporation at issuance. The CEO must actually leave their position; announcing a future departure alone does not qualify. The departure must be announced by the CEO or on their behalf after issuance and before the specified date. "Before" excludes the specified calendar date. Each deadline is evaluated independently, so more than one market can resolve to Yes.
Settlement sources: Bloomberg
See it on Kalshi ↗