The odds
as of Oct 27, 05:25 UTC- 11 34% −0.5
- 10 33% —
- 9 18% —
- 8 4.5% —
- Above 12 4% +4
- 7 3.5% +2
- 12 2.5% —
- Below 7 2% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$71K
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts
11, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 20: 35% · Oct 21: 35% · Oct 22: 38% · Oct 23: 35% · Oct 24: 35% · Oct 25: 34% · Oct 26: 34% · Oct 27: 34%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 11; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Democrats win 11 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Pennsylvania Department of State; Associated Press
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