The odds
as of Oct 17, 06:33 UTC- Lamine Yamal 94% —
- Rodri 89% —
- Ousmane Dembélé 88% —
- Harry Kane 88% —
- Kylian Mbappé 87% —
- David Beckham 66% —
- Michael Owen 52% —
- Kaka 44% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$34K
Traded in all$34K
Favourite, 7 days+39 pts
Lamine Yamal, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 16: 96% · Oct 17: 94%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗