The odds
as of Oct 27, 05:25 UTC- Above 3.6500 84% +78
- Above 3.7000 54% +15
- Above 3.8000 22% +2
- Above 3.8500 28% −71
- Above 3.9000 2% −17
- Above 3.9500 23% +18
- Above 4.0000 15% −25
- Above 4.0500 5% −9
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$95K
Traded in all$158K
Favourite, 7 days+30 pts
Above 3.6500, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 20: 55% · Oct 21: 55% · Oct 22: 74% · Oct 23: 78% · Oct 24: 94% · Oct 25: 69% · Oct 26: 54% · Oct 27: 23%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 3.6500; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $3.6500 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: AAA
See it on Kalshi ↗