The odds
as of Oct 26, 19:23 UTC- Above 15K 14% −79
- Above 20K 8.5% −42
- Above 25K 5.5% −32
- Above 30K 4% −5
- Above 35K 4% —
- Above 40K 3% —
- Above 45K 2.5% —
- Above 50K 4% +1
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$25K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 days−62 pts
Above 15K, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 23: 76% · Oct 24: 81% · Oct 25: 98% · Oct 26: 21%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 15K; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Luh Leakyz Vol. 1 by Yeat has above 15K Album Equivalent Units during the October 23, 2026 - October 29, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the October 23, 2026 - October 29, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the outcomes of any prediction market.
Settlement sources: Luminate
See it on Kalshi ↗