The odds
as of Nov 6, 04:19 UTC- Democratic by 91 to 130 13% —
- Democratic by 31 to 60 11% —
- Democratic by 61 to 90 10% —
- Republican by 61 to 90 8.5% —
- Democratic by 131 to 210 7.5% +1
- Democratic by 11 to 30 7.5% —
- Republican by 91 to 130 7.5% —
- Democratic by 211 or more 7% +1
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$29K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Democratic by 91 to 130, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 30: 13% · Oct 31: 13% · Nov 1: 13% · Nov 2: 13% · Nov 3: 13% · Nov 4: 13% · Nov 5: 13% · Nov 6: 13%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic by 91 to 130; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗