The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Chance of yes 7% +1.5
Traded today$12K
Traded in all$1.8M
Yes, 7 days−1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 8.5% · Sep 29: 8% · Sep 30: 8.5% · Oct 1: 6.5% · Oct 2: 5.5% · Oct 3: 5.5% · Oct 4: 8% · Oct 5: 7%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
See it on Polymarket ↗