The odds
as of Nov 5, 01:18 UTC- Chance of yes 64% +11
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$26K
Yes, 7 days+12 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 29: 51% · Oct 30: 51% · Oct 31: 45% · Nov 1: 45% · Nov 2: 47% · Nov 3: 54% · Nov 4: 71% · Nov 5: 64%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying budget must provide funding for the entire year 2027. Special or emergency funding bills will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Government, specifically the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) (journal-officiel.gouv.fr). However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗