The odds
as of Oct 15, 23:19 UTC- Ossoff by 9-12 66% +43
- Ossoff by 6-9 42% —
- Ossoff by 12-15 10% —
- Ossoff by 3-6 9% —
- Ossoff by 15-18 4.5% —
- Bottoms by 0+ 2.5% —
- Ossoff by 0-3 1.5% —
- Ossoff by 18+ 1% −15
Traded today$24K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+49 pts
Ossoff by 9-12, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 14: 23% · Oct 15: 34%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Ossoff by 9-12; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Jon Ossoff's margin in the Georgia U.S. Senate election minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's margin in the Georgia governor election is between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Results of any December 1, 2026 runoff are not used.
Settlement sources: Georgia Secretary of State
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