The odds
as of Oct 27, 15:27 UTC- December 31 93% —
- November 30 64% —
- November 15 5.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$30K
Traded in all$29K
Favourite, 7 days+6.5 pts
December 31, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceHow it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗