The odds
as of Nov 5, 21:14 UTC- Chance of yes 13% −19
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$35K
Yes, 7 days−3 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 29: 16% · Oct 30: 17% · Oct 31: 17% · Nov 1: 17% · Nov 2: 22% · Nov 3: 22% · Nov 4: 31% · Nov 5: 13%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗