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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

The market puts it at 2.5% — a very long shot — on Polymarket, as of Oct 15, 10:24 UTC. It's down 5.3 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 2.5% ▼ 5.3 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 15, 10:24 UTC
  • Chance of yes 2.5% −5.3
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$25K
Yes, 7 days−3.3 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 7Oct 153%

Oct 8: 6% · Oct 9: 7.5% · Oct 10: 7.7% · Oct 11: 7.4% · Oct 12: 7.5% · Oct 13: 7.8% · Oct 14: 3.6% · Oct 15: 2.6%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicușor Dan ceases to be the President of Romania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nicușor Dan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice
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