The odds
as of Oct 14, 13:23 UTC- Chance of yes 87% +14
Traded today$16K
Traded in all$25K
Yes, 7 days+2.3 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 7: 85% · Oct 8: 85% · Oct 9: 85% · Oct 10: 86% · Oct 11: 86% · Oct 12: 82% · Oct 13: 61% · Oct 14: 87%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) and Flávio Bolsonaro participate in the same televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro must each speak at least once in the same debate, televised live.
Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗