The odds
as of Oct 14, 21:21 UTC- Fear 72% +33
- Neutral 15% −23
- Extreme Fear 7% —
- Greed 3.5% −4
- Extreme Greed 1.5% —
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+16 pts
Fear, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 7: 56% · Oct 8: 62% · Oct 9: 55% · Oct 10: 52% · Oct 11: 53% · Oct 12: 48% · Oct 13: 45% · Oct 14: 72%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Fear; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the value at 4:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026 is Fear, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: CNN Fear & Greed Index
See it on Kalshi ↗