The odds
as of Nov 4, 15:18 UTC- John Thune 88% +23
- John Barrasso 9.8% +3.6
- Tom Cotton 1.5% −2.6
- Patty Murray <1% —
- Rick Scott <1% −4
- Mark Kelly <1% −2.5
- Chuck Schumer <1% −19
- Brian Schatz <1% —
Traded today$10K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days+34 pts
John Thune, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 28: 54% · Oct 29: 54% · Oct 30: 52% · Oct 31: 55% · Nov 1: 56% · Nov 2: 56% · Nov 3: 66% · Nov 4: 88%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗